The following is the introduction to an upcoming thesis about International Maintenance, and Security entitled “Global World Order”
Excerpt Below:
After studying previously disclosed, and aforementioned information in this era of Globalization, and bringing in a closer, and more introspective understanding of National Security Cultures, and the way they work and behave, I’m here positing a more efficient understanding of the current boundaries of these security cultures, and their continued growth, and maturation. The Mumbai Line, or Mum Line is designed to help our current understanding of the future of Global growth, and the conflictual centers which may emanate from it.
As our times, the 21st century, begins to manifest, and deliver on the promises which were exceeded, following the end of the Cold War, and the ensuing Globalization, a Global Order which had not yet began to fully take hold, was already taking shape. After the events of 9/11, and the defeat of Al-Qaeda, and ISIS, the Old Order, was replaced by a more abundant, yet not fully conceptualized bifurcated Order, that exceeded the expectations of its creators, principally the United States, and Europe, with a number of not yet marginalized, not yet fully accepted Junior Partners, and Near Peer Adversaries.
These near peer adversaries and their partners include, but certainly are not limited to: China, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, India, Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, Venezuela, Africa, Latin America, and the Eurozone. At varying times, and in certainly different positions, these Junior Partners have individually, and diametrically both attested, and confronted, the previous order which was established at the close of the Cold War, and its ensuing aftermath. This quasi-post 9/11 order, has become the de facto norm, after the close of the wars in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia against Al-Qaeda, the Taliban, and the Islamic State. These two diametrically, yet complimentary conditions; one Globalization, the most significant, and important Socio-Economic events in the history of man; and the other a stressful condition of GWOT, or Global War, found its imprimatur in the events which transpired on, and after the morning of September 11th 2001.
The trends which were emanating from various regions of the world, population growth, the adoption of Democracy, and Capitalism throughout large parts of the World, and the continued development of peaceful Geo-Political conditions, that stressed cooperation and Economic success, over coup de tats, and revolutionary struggles, has only accelerated as the 21st century continues to unfold. And while a number of these Near Peer Adversaries, and their Junior Partners have developed their own conceptualization of how, and where their vision of this new Democratic Inheritance is, and should be, no one vision has been accepted, or fully embraced by any serious number of Countries that would significantly, and credibly, contest the vision which was initially envisioned for the World by the United States following the events which transpired on 9/11.
This at both times stable, and conflictual Geo-Political, Globalized Environment has become a normative dialectical disjunctive which the relationship between the United States and China is principally demonstrative of, and has yet to be fully conceptualized, and understood, even with Democratic, and Commercial Economic conditions being the normative conditions for most of the Worlds people. In short, our current view of the state of unipolar, and bipolar relations in the World, and the past lens which its future hostilities have been viewed through, fail to fully realize the potential, of our Multilateral and Globalized Present conditional Environment.[1] This complementary state of affairs, where individual security has been ensured by the Democratic, and Economic transitions which have already taken place, have only been exacerbated by the lack of a conditional, and predictable contestation between two individually polarized blocs.
The buildup of forces, and the advancement of technological knowhow, with the diffusion of these resources, throughout the immediate World, can be viewed only as a number of policy failures in the foreign policy space for the United States. That is to say, this lack of a stressful Geo-Political Environment can be viewed by the United States as nothing but a failure for them, and their policies. The lack of a legitimate diametrically opposed contender, along with the diffusion of Technological, and Economic successes, instead of precipitating a condition of legitimate, and perpetual peace, has instead become a new breeding ground fermenting the growth of Affluent Households, Economic and Socio-Economic Prestige, Educational and Technological attainment, and peaceful coexistence with Society, and its neighbors.
This has become the de facto ruling criteria for a large, and entirely peaceful majority of the entire World. Hence the Upper Quadrants above the Mumbai Line. Seemingly uplifting the Global South out of poverty, by means of Global Commerce, and Development Alone. Considering that the United States Spends upwards of 5% of GDP on Defense, this has to be considered nothing short of the utmost of policy failures for the Both the United States Intelligence, and Defense Communities. The most realistic outcome from all of this is not a large and protracted struggle for dominance over a finite measure of resources between contesting regional blocs around the World. Instead, this former inevitable reality has been replaced by the idea of how to keep what we already have, individually as nations, instead of trying to procure resources that we don’t. While at the same time, the soft power and relational successes of the United States, and Europe, instead of being seen, or viewed as weaknesses that have led to their steady, and eventual decline, have, in the wake of their success, only increasingly been adopted, and coopted by lesser realized regional, and conditional Near Peer Adversaries, and Junior Partners.
This state of Soft Power success, has in its wake, and this is the United States current most pressing concern, an Environment that has precipitated the desire by these Near Peer Adversaries, against the United States Junior Partners and States, as a way to have an equal measure of Hard Power that can plausibly ensure their continued successes in the spheres of Diplomacy, Intelligence, Military, and Economics. This is the aforementioned reasoning behind the idea that the policy successes of the United States, have only precipitated a stressful period of Hard Power and its growth. This however, is not an Environment that can currently be controlled by unlicensed coup de tats, or revolutionary successes, for the above-mentioned reasons.
So, without the ability to foresee or anticipate the Environment that will exist after all the above-mentioned successes are no longer anticipated, we have entered into what can only be conceived as a state of failed, or failing Geo-Economics. So, without the corresponding knowhow of why these things would fail, or no longer exist, and how they can be precipitated, or rather without any one plausible entity which could precipitate it, the lack of its failure, is indicative of its success. The panic from the idea that this, or their success individually as nations can be withdrawn from without the help of Democracy, and its resources, is palpable, and has only heightened with the realization of the idea of this lack of success has entered into the Political psyche of the citizens of the United States.
The United States and its Partners and Allies, can anticipate these continued successes, and help to codify a world in better standing, and not failed or failing, by proactively defining, and helping to measure the definition of success which the World should strive toward, while realistically tackling the idea that this success is moribund, or inevitably on the verge of collapse. And can do this, by proving that the successes of Globalization, and the ensuing nation-building, and soft development are permanent, and that they have no greater partner than the United States, and its system of alliances, and partners.
This is not to say that the same selfish modes of thought are somehow an inevitable norm. Instead, the alliances, and successes which the United States built up after the end of World War II, and the Cold War, should only convince us to export even further our ideals, and societal soft resources. It is by doing this, that ultimately, the success which the United States has found in most parts of the world, can, and eventually, will be replicated, throughout the rest of it. In this paper I intend on reflecting on the consequences of the policy decisions the United States has experienced, by not recognizing this new strategic, and Geo-Political paradigm shift. Namely, one from a post-Cold War Geo-Political Hegemony. To one that has grown into a contestation of successful Military, and Economic interventions, by the International Community, Near Peer Adversaries, and the United States and its friends and partners.[2] But, also by a growing concentric circle of past, former, current, and potentially future Geo-Political nemeses, who have at one point, or another, sought to adopt United States ideals, and knowhow, while still transmitting the basic analog’s, of their inherent Political, religious, and Socio-Economic Cultures.
So, while the inevitable Systemization of thought, has led us to view a contestation of these ideas, and ideals, as being somehow disjunctive, or not normative, the inevitable contest of ideas, while successful transmittal, and eventual adoption, even yet fully, of the ideals of the United States, are something which should not come as a surprise to policy makers, and indeed is not even a new phenomenon. What is needed is a new approach to Global Relations, and even Global Geopolitics for the United States in the 21st century. In this post 9/11 National Security Environment, and the ensuing Multipolar Environment, which is now coming into the fore.[3] Necessitates the realignment of strategic, and national security priorities, for a new Globalized, Systematized, and Collaborative Post-Cold War National Security Environment, which has come into existence. This, and its new, American Led World Order for the 21st century, is what this book attempts to describe.
[1] America is too Scared of the Multipolar Order, Harvard Belfer Center, Stephen Walt, Found At: https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/america-too-scared-multipolar-world, Accessed On: 3/13/2023 [2] America is too Scared of the Multipolar World, Harvard Belfer Center, Stephen Walt, Found At: https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/america-too-scared-multipolar-world, Accessed On: 03/13/2023[3] Backstage Glimpses of Clinton as Dogged Diplomat, Win or Lose, Michael R. Gordon, Mark Landler, New York Times, Found At: https://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/03/us/politics/in-behind-scene-blows-and-triumphs-sense-of-clinton-future.html, Accessed On: 3/13/2023
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